A checked finding
Your pattern, reframed: N − 1 = (k+1)p.
You noticed that some Goldbach pairs have the bigger prime equal to the smaller one times something, plus one. That turns out to be a real number-theory statement — just not a universal one. Every figure below was computed and verified up to ten million.
01The reframing
Your condition is a Goldbach pair with an extra shape:
Substitute the second into the first:
02The numbers (verified)
Counting the even numbers that have at least one such pair, over growing ranges:
| range of even N | have the property | share |
|---|---|---|
| 4 – 100 | 17 / 49 | 34.7% |
| 4 – 1,000 | 198 / 499 | 39.7% |
| 4 – 10,000 | 1,914 / 4,999 | 38.3% |
| 4 – 100,000 | 17,750 / 49,999 | 35.5% |
| 4 – 1,000,000 | 163,078 / 499,999 | 32.6% |
| 4 – 3,000,000 | 470,824 / 1,499,999 | 31.4% |
| 4 – 10,000,000 | 1,506,856 / 4,999,999 | 30.1% |
Two quick examples:
03The multiplier can never be an odd prime
For N > 4 both p and q are odd, so q − 1 is even. Since p is odd, k = (q − 1) / p must be even. So if you ask for k itself to be prime, the only option is:
p and 2p + 1 both prime. Your condition has one of the classic prime patterns hiding inside it.04Tied to the factorization of N − 1
When k + 1 is also prime, N − 1 = p·r is a product of two primes — so each prime factor can give its own pair. Take 120:
Both prime factors of N − 1 produce a valid pair. Your Goldbach representation is wired directly to the factorization of N − 1.
An infinite family (so it's not just small-number luck)
Fix p = 3. The condition becomes q = 3k + 1, i.e. q ≡ 1 (mod 3). Every such prime q gives a valid even number N = q + 3. By Dirichlet's theorem there are infinitely many primes q ≡ 1 (mod 3) — so infinitely many N satisfy your pattern.
05Why it drifts down — and where it ends
For each candidate prime p you need a prime q = N − p — and a standard Hardy–Littlewood / Cramér heuristic makes that likelihood about C₂ / ln N per prime factor p of N − 1, where C₂ ≈ 0.660 is the twin-prime constant. By Erdős–Kac, N − 1 has roughly ln ln N distinct prime factors to try. Put together, the chance of failing for a given N is about
ln ln N / ln N → 0, that exponent goes to 0, so P(fail) → 1 and the density → 0 — just extraordinarily slowly. The often-quoted ≈38% is only the value near N ≈ 10⁴; extend the count and it keeps sliding: 38.3% → 30.1% by ten million, and still falling.◆The honest verdict
N − 1 = (k+1)p is real and gives the idea genuine structure, linking a Goldbach pair of N to a factorization of N − 1, and touching Sophie Germain primes and Dirichlet. But since it holds for only ~⅓ of even N (and provably not all), the original “always such a pair” form is disproved.The precise question it leaves — for which even N does some prime p | (N − 1) also make N − p prime? — turns out to be governed by known heuristics: no special name, a Hardy–Littlewood-type density that decays to zero as N → ∞. Related raw views: the comet, first primes.